Monday, September 14, 2009

Troy University Student Reportedly Dies From Swine Flu

According to the Dothan Eagle in Dothan, Alabama, 18 year old Andrew Salter, a student at Troy University, died on Friday, September 11, 2009 at Southeast Alabama Medical Center from complications possibly related to the H1N1 swine flu. H was diagnosed as having the flu on September 3 and was treated with Tamiflu. After getting better, however, he developed pneumonia and was admitted to the hospital on Monday, September 7th. As of August 19, 2009 there are 217 suspected cases of the swine flu in Houston County and 1,587 statewide in Alabama.

Suspected Cases of Swine Flu Have Increased From 64 to 172 At University of Maryland


A University of Maryland official has confirmed that suspected cases of the H1N1 swine flu among students have increased from 64 to 172.

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Many Colleges Reporting Swine Flu

According to the Washington Post, more than half of the nation's colleges and universities are reporting cases of the H1N1 swine flu. In the first week of classes alone, more than 1,600 cases of the H1N1 swine flu have been reported on the nation's college and university campuses.

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Several Prominent Individuals Recently Have Contracted the Swine Flu

TV personality and host Rachel Maddow announced that she has recently recovered from a bout of the swine flu. Also recently recovered from the swine flu is the President of the country of Costa Rica while the President of the country of Columbia announced that he has recently contracted the swine flu after visiting Argentina for a meeting of South American leaders.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Latest Update on H1N1 Swine Flu

The number of swine flu cases has decreased in the United States during the summer months as one would expect with flu outbreaks. For some reason, however, swine flu cases have been widespread in the states of Georgia and Alaska, despite the fact that this it is summer and not the typical period when one would expect a high number of flu cases. As of August 27, 2009, the CDC reports that since the outbreak of the H1N1 swine flu in the spring, there have been confirmed cases of 8,843 hospitalizations and 556 deaths in the United States.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Most Recent Update on the H1N1 Swine Flu From the White House

On Tuesday, August 11, 2009, Dr. Richard Hatchett, White House Medical Preparedness Policy Director, spoke at a conference in Arlington, Virginia about the H1N1 swine flu epidemic. As background, he explained that the H1N1 flu has been in the U.S. for the last 30 years - but that the current strain of H1N1 swine flu is significantly different than previously existing strains. He also described how the U.S. has experienced three prior flu pandemics - the most famous being the 1918 flu epidemic, but with another occurring in 1957 and another in the mid-1960's. What we should learn from these previous flu pandemics, according to Dr. Hatchett, is that such pandemics are inevitably multi-year events with the flu increasing in the fall and spring, diminishing during the summer, and then typically returning the next fall and spring - with this continuing for two or more years. For this reason, he emphasized that the development of a vaccine for the H1N1 swine flu is important even if it is not available when the flu returns in the fall. According to Dr. Hatchett, best estimates are that thus far since the H1N1 swine flu appeared this past April, somewhere between 1.5 to 10 million people in the U.S. have been infected with the swine flu (i.e. significantly more than the actual confirmed cases). He also estimates that thus far there have been 436 deaths thus far in the U.S. Because of the wide variation on estimates of the number of people that have been infected with the swine flu, it is impossible at this point to estimate how virulent the current case of the H1N1 swine flu is in terms of mortality rate. What is exceptional about the current pandemic of the H1N1 swine flu, however, is how 50 percent of cases have been in people between age 5 and 24, with the age 25 to 49 having the next highest rate of cases. Also, 60 percent of the hospitalizations have been of young people in the 5 to 24 age group. This is in contrast with the normal flu where the highest incidence of illness is in the age 4 or younger or age 65 or older age groups. Also, normal strains of the flu infect approximately 5 percent of the population over a flu season. In a little over a month in the spring, however, it is estimated that 10 percent of the population of New York City became infected with the swine flu. Thus it is possible that the H1N1 will eventually affect a signficantly greater portion of the population than the normal flu. Coupled with the fact that the H1N1 swine flu also dramatically affects the young at a greater rate than the normal flu, this raises grave concerns about the eventual impacts of the H1N1 swine flu. Currently, the highest "intensity" of the H1N1 swine flu has been in Argentina and Chile in the southern hemisphere where they are currently in the peak of their flu season (i.e. where it is currently in the middle of their winter). Next in "intensity" have been the experiences thus far of Mexico and Canada. While the United States has a signficantly highest "intensity" of the pandemic thus far than most countries, it still has experienced a mild intensity compared with Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Canada. Thus far the H1N1 swine flu pandemic has hit the western hemisphere the hardest, with the exception of Great Britain which has also been hard hit by the swine flu. In summary, flu pandemics have caused a significant number of deaths and social disruption in the past, and there is no reason to believe that the current H1N1 swine flu pandemic will not have a similar affect as demonstrated by the experience of countries like Argentina in the southern hemisphere currently and by Mexico, Canada, and the U.S. this past spring. If the current H1N1 swine flu pandemic is like past flu pandemics, it will be a multi-year challenge for our society to respond to with the greatest challenge for the U.S. still to come this coming fall and spring flu seasons, and possibly during the flu seasons of the following year as well. What could mitigate the impact of the current H1N1 swine flu pandemic, however, is how quickly we can develop and distribute an effective vaccine.

Monday, August 10, 2009

The Front Page of the Washington Post Had A Story Today About the Return of the Swine Flu This Fall


According to the Washington Post dated August 10, there were 19,273 reported cases of the swine flu for the period April 24 thru June 3, then an additional 70,648 reported cases from the period from June 4 to July 3, and then an additional 72,459 reported cases from the period from July 4 to August 4. This demonstrates that despite the fact that the swine flu seems to have retreated from the public's consciousness, actually the number of swine flu cases has steadily increased each month. Countries with the largest number of deaths are the United States, Canada, Mexico and Britain in the Northern Hemisphere. As the swine flu has now spread to the Southern Hemisphere, a large number of deaths from the swine flu have also been reported in Argentina, Chile, Paraguay, and Australia. According to the Washington Post, a new round of the swine flu "could hit the Northern Hemisphere within weeks and lead to major disruptions in schools, workplaces and hospitals, according to U.S. and International health officials. 'The virus is still around and ready to explode,' said William Schaffner, an influenza expert at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine. 'We're potentially looking at a very big mess.' "